Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021916 0.023550 0.025253 0.027160 0.029240 0.031442 0.033952
2024-10-20 0.018810 0.021107 0.023623 0.026594 0.030015 0.033845 0.038474
2024-10-27 0.017175 0.019913 0.023032 0.026865 0.031476 0.036871 0.043707
2024-11-03 0.015834 0.018844 0.022381 0.026874 0.032470 0.039267 0.048229
2024-11-10 0.014934 0.018177 0.022091 0.027207 0.033780 0.042031 0.053307
2024-11-17 0.013897 0.017238 0.021362 0.026885 0.034175 0.043589 0.056865
2024-11-24 0.013098 0.016526 0.020847 0.026764 0.034767 0.045379 0.060792
2024-12-01 0.012303 0.015760 0.020197 0.026394 0.034966 0.046607 0.063975
2024-12-08 0.011763 0.015287 0.019891 0.026447 0.035711 0.048593 0.068328
2024-12-15 0.011131 0.014652 0.019324 0.026092 0.035842 0.049689 0.071421
2024-12-22 0.010503 0.013987 0.018675 0.025573 0.035687 0.050335 0.073846
2024-12-29 0.010026 0.013504 0.018248 0.025337 0.035914 0.051533 0.077170
2025-01-05 0.009569 0.013030 0.017816 0.025076 0.036095 0.052681 0.080520
2025-01-12 0.009053 0.012449 0.017202 0.024510 0.035776 0.053034 0.082597
2025-01-19 0.008813 0.012252 0.017131 0.024745 0.036691 0.055354 0.088076
2025-01-26 0.008525 0.011971 0.016919 0.024750 0.037236 0.057104 0.092703
2025-02-02 0.008338 0.011828 0.016903 0.025052 0.038261 0.059684 0.098951
2025-02-09 0.008007 0.011456 0.016524 0.024760 0.038301 0.060620 0.102331
2025-02-16 0.007743 0.011174 0.016269 0.024650 0.038627 0.062047 0.106697
2025-02-23 0.007441 0.010820 0.015887 0.024315 0.038553 0.062773 0.109797
2025-03-02 0.007247 0.010626 0.015746 0.024363 0.039127 0.064655 0.115223
2025-03-09 0.006979 0.010306 0.015392 0.024041 0.039042 0.065352 0.118391
2025-03-16 0.006692 0.009946 0.014961 0.023569 0.038667 0.065498 0.120468